The RIETE Registry is an independent registry, supported by Sanofi-Aventis in Spain and by Bayer Pharma AG outside Spain. During the first 5 years, RIETE was also supported by Red Respira from the Instituto Carlos III, Spain (Red Respira-ISCiii-RTIC-03/11). Neither Sanofi-Aventis nor Bayer Pharma AG have any right of access to the database, and there is no payment per recruited patient.
Management of VTE in Patients with Special Conditions
In a first article using the RIETE database, we found that 26% of patients with VTE had at least one exclusion criterion to be recruited in randomized clinical trials of antithrombotic therapy. Interestingly, these patients had a 4-fold higher rate of fatal PE and a 4-fold higher rate of fatal bleeding than VTE patients with no exclusion criteria.
1
We assessed the outcome of VTE patients with recent (<30 days earlier) major bleeding. Of 6,361 patients enrolled by 2004, 170 had experienced recent major bleeding: 41% in the gastrointestinal tract (GI), 35% intracranial, 24% other. On multivariate analysis, the odds ratios (OR) for fatal bleeding (6.4; 95% CI 2.6–15) and fatal recurrent PE (4.5; 95% CI 1.3–14) were significantly higher in patients with recent major than in those without recent bleeding.2 In a further study with 306 patients, we found that patients with recent GI bleeding had an increased risk for both major re-bleeding (hazard ratio [HR] 2.8; 95% CI 1.4–5.3) and death (HR 1.9; 95% CI 1.2–3.1) compared to those with no recent bleeding. Those who bled in other sites had an increased risk only for death (HR 2.0; 95% CI 1.2–3.3). Moreover, an elapsed time of <2 weeks from bleeding to the index VTE event was also associated with an increased risk for major re-bleeding (HR 2.4; 95% CI 1.2–5.0) and death (HR 2.8; 95% CI 1.8–4.5).3
Of 13,011 patients enrolled by 2005, 2,890 (22%) were aged >80 years. During the first 3 months of therapy, 99 patients (3.4%) aged >80 years and 212 aged <80 years (2.1%) had major bleeding (OR 1.7; 95% CI 1.3–2.1).4 Fatal bleeding occurred in 0.8% and 0.4%, respectively (OR 2.0; 95% CI 1.2–3.4). The rate of recurrent VTE was 2.1% and 2.8%, but 3.7% of patients >80 years and 1.1% <80 years died of PE (OR 3.6; 95% CI 2.7–4.7). In another study, of 21,873 patients enrolled by 2008, 610 (2.8%) were aged ≥90 years.5 During the 3-month study period, 140 patients (23%) died: 45 patients died of PE, 18 died of bleeding. On multivariate analysis, fatal PE was significantly more common in patients with recent immobility. Finally, we assessed the risk of fatal PE and fatal bleeding in 16,199 patients with lower limb DVT (without symptomatic PE at the time of inclusion), with patients categorized according to age.6 During the first 3 months of treatment, there were 31 fatal PE (0.19%) and 83 fatal bleeds (0.51%). During the first 7 days of therapy, the frequency of fatal PE was similar to that of fatal bleeding (12 versus 14 deaths, respectively; OR 0.86; 95% CI 0.39–1.87). However, from Day 8 to Day 90 the frequency of fatal bleeding was greater than that of fatal PE (69 versus 19 deaths; OR 3.64; 95% CI 2.22–6.20). The higher frequency of fatal bleeding compared to fatal PE from Day 8 to Day 90 appeared to be confined to patients aged ≥60 years. On multivariate analysis, the patient’s age was independently associated with an increased risk for death from bleeding during the first 3 months: every 10 years the odds ratio increased by 1.37 (95% CI 1.12–1.67).
A total of 14,391 patients were enrolled by 2006. Of these, 2,945 (20%) had active cancer.7 During the first 3 months, the rate of fatal PE in cancer patients was 2.6%, and that of fatal bleeding 1.0%. These rates were significantly higher than in patients without cancer (1.4% and 0.3%, respectively). Renal insufficiency, metastatic disease, recent major bleeding, and recent immobility (42% of the 108 patients who died from PE or bleeding had recent immobility) were independently associated, in patients with cancer, with an increased risk for both fatal PE and fatal bleeding. In 2007, we built a clinical prediction rule to identify which cancer patients were at a higher risk for recurrent PE or major bleeding during the first 3 months of anticoagulation.8 On multivariate analysis, patients aged <65 years, with clinically overt PE at baseline, or with <3 months from cancer diagnosis to VTE had an increased incidence of recurrent PE. A risk score was calculated: the incidences of recurrent PE in patients with low, intermediate, or high risk were 0.6%, 2.5%, and 7.4%, respectively. Patients with immobility ≥4 days, severe renal insufficiency, metastases, or recent bleeding had an increased incidence of major bleeding. The incidences of major bleeding in patients with low, intermediate, or high risk were 1.8%, 5.0%, and 15%, respectively, and their positive likelihood ratios were 0.44, 1.22, and 4.02.
In another study, we compared the outcome of cancer patients with VTE according to their white blood cell (WBC) count at baseline.9 Of 3,805 patients enrolled, 5.7% had low, 63% normal, and 31% elevated WBC count. During the first 3 months, patients with elevated WBC count had an increased incidence of recurrent VTE (OR 1.6; 95% CI 1.2–2.2), major bleeding (OR 1.5; 95% CI 1.1–2.1), or death (OR 2.7; 95% CI 2.3–3.2). On multivariate analysis, patients with elevated WBC count were at increased risk for all three complications.
In patients with extreme body weight, we found no differences in outcome between those weighing 50–100 kg or over 100 kg, but patients weighing <50 kg had a significantly higher rate of bleeding complications.10 Then, we examined the association between body mass index (BMI) and mortality during the first 3 months of therapy.11 Of the 10,114 patients, 1.5% were underweight (BMI <18.5), 28% normal weight (BMI 18.5–24.9), 43% overweight (BMI 25.0–30), and 27% were obese (BMI >30). Obese patients had less than half the mortality than normal BMI patients. This reduction in mortality rates was consistent among all subgroups and persisted after multivariate adjustment.
Of 10,526 patients enrolled in 2005, 88% had creatinine clearance (CrCl) levels >60 mL/min, 6.7% had 30–60 mL/min, and 5.6% had CrCl <30 mL/min.12 The rate of fatal PE during the first 15 days was 1.0%, 2.6%, and 6.6%, respectively. Fatal bleeding occurred in 0.2%, 0.3%, and 1.2%, respectively. Thus, patients with renal insufficiency had an increased rate of both fatal PE and fatal bleeding, but the risk of fatal PE far exceeded that of fatal bleeding. Our data supported the use of full-dose anticoagulant therapy, even in patients with severe renal insufficiency. In another study, we evaluated the 15-day outcome in 38,531 patients and used propensity score matching to compare patients treated with unfractionated heparin (UFH) with those treated with low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) in three groups stratified by CrCl levels at baseline: >60 mL/min, 30–60 mL/min, or <30 mL/min.13 Propensity score-matched groups showed an increased 15-day mortality for UFH compared with LMWH (4.5% versus 2.4% [P < 0.001], 5.4% versus 5.8% [P = NS], and 15% versus 8.1% [P = 0.02]), an increased rate of fatal PE (2.8% versus 1.2% [P < 0.001], 3.2% versus 2.5% [P = NS], and 5.7% versus 2.4% [P < 0.02]), and a similar rate of fatal bleeding (0.3% versus 0.3%, 0.7% versus 0.7%, and 0.5% versus 0.0%). Multivariate analysis confirmed that patients treated with UFH were at increased risk for all-cause death (OR 1.8; 95% CI 1.3–2.4) and fatal PE (OR 2.3; 95% CI 1.5–3.6).
In pregnant patients, we found that VTE developed during the first trimester in 40%, thus suggesting that VTE prophylaxis, when indicated during pregnancy, should start in the first trimester.14 Interestingly, no patient recurred or bled before delivery, but after delivery the risk of major bleeding (5.6%) exceeded the risk of recurrences (1.4%).
Natural History of VTE in Non-selected Patients
Since we gathered data on consecutive patients with VTE, we assessed the natural history of VTE in unselected patients, and compared their clinical characteristics and outcome. We found that acutely ill medical patients with immobility ≥4 days had a more severe VTE presentation than postoperative patients, and that the incidence of fatal PE and fatal bleeding were much higher in immobilized patients than in the surgical.
15 Then, we analyzed the clinical characteristics, time-course, and 3-month outcome of all patients with postoperative VTE. Of these, 25% had major orthopedic surgery, 13% cancer surgery, and 63% had other procedures. Their clinical presentation, time-course, and 3-month outcome was similar, but the use of prophylaxis in patients undergoing cancer surgery or other procedures was suboptimal. We also studied the natural history of patients with upper-extremity DVT.
16 Of the 11,564 DVT patients enrolled in 2007, 512 patients (4.4%) had arm DVT. They presented less often with clinically overt PE (9.0% versus 29%) than those with lower-limb DVT, but their 3-month outcome was similar.
In two studies, we compared the clinical characteristics and outcome of patients with a first episode of VTE and factor V Leiden, prothrombin G20210A, or no thrombophilia.17,18 In 2009, 345 patients had factor V Leiden, 261 had prothrombin G20210A, and 2,399 tested negative. Sixty-two percent of VTE episodes in women (40% in men) were associated with an acquired risk factor. Among women with factor V Leiden or prothrombin G20210A, contraceptive use and pregnancy accounted for 63% and 67% of such risk factors. Patients with factor V Leiden presented with PE less often (31% versus 51% or 45%), and less likely had hypoxemia (4.5% versus 17% and 20%). There were no differences between subgroups in the incidence of recurrent VTE, either during or after discontinuation of anticoagulant therapy. We also studied the natural history of VTE in patients with chronic lung disease,19–21 in women using hormonal therapy,22,23 and in patients with distal DVT, among others.24
Prognostic Scores
We built a score to predict the risk for major bleeding within the first 3 months of anticoagulant therapy (
Table 1).
25 Of 19,274 patients enrolled, 13,057 were randomly assigned to the derivation sample, 6,572 to the validation sample. On multivariate analysis, age >75 years, recent bleeding, cancer, creatinine levels >1.2 mg/dL, anemia, or PE at baseline were independently associated with an increased risk for major bleeding. A score was composed assigning 2 points to recent bleeding, 1.5 to abnormal creatinine levels or anemia, 1 point to the remaining variables. In the derivation sample 20% of patients scored 0 points; 74% scored 1–4 points; and 5.8% scored >4 points. The rates of major bleeding were: 0.3% (95% CI 0.1–0.6), 2.6% (95% CI 2.3–2.9), and 7.3% (95% CI 5.6–9.3), respectively. The likelihood ratio tests were 0.14 (95% CI 0.07–0.27) for patients at low risk and 2.96 (95% CI 2.18–4.02) for those at high risk. In the validation sample the incidences of major bleeding were 0.1%, 2.8%, and 6.2%, respectively.
| Table 1. Prognostic Score for Major Bleeding. |
We also assessed risk factors for fatal bleeding (Table 2).26 Of 24,395 patients, 2.24% had a major bleed and 0.55% had a fatal bleed during the first 3 months of anticoagulation. Fatal bleeding was independently associated with the following factors at the time of VTE diagnosis: age >75 years, metastatic cancer, immobility, a major bleed within the past 30 days, an abnormal prothrombin time, a platelet count <109/L, CrCl levels <30 mL/min, anemia, and distal DVT. A clinical prediction rule for risk of fatal bleeding that included these nine baseline factors was derived. Fatal bleeding occurred in 0.16% (95% CI 0.11–0.23) of the low-risk, 1.06% (95% CI 0.85–1.30) of the moderate-risk, and 4.24% (95% CI 2.76–6.27) of the high-risk category. Some years later we validated this score in a further sample of patients.27
| Table 2. Prognostic Score for Fatal Bleeding. |
In another study, we compared the pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI) clinical prediction rule for estimating the risk of 30-day mortality in patients with PE with a simplified PESI (sPESI) in a derivation cohort of Spanish patients (Table 3).28 Then, we used the RIETE database to validate externally the sPESI score. In the derivation data set, univariate logistic regression of the original 11 PESI variables led to the removal of variables that did not reach statistical significance and subsequently produced the sPESI that contained the variables of age, cancer, chronic cardiopulmonary disease, heart rate, systolic blood pressure, and oxyhemoglobin saturation levels. The prognostic accuracy of the original and simplified PESI scores did not differ (area under the curve, 0.75, 95% CI 0.69–0.80). The 305 of 995 patients (30.7%) who were classified as low risk by the simplified PESI had a 30-day mortality of 1.0% (95% CI 0.0%–2.1%) compared with 10.9% (95% CI 8.5%–13.2%) in the high-risk group. In the RIETE validation cohort, 2,569 of 7,106 patients (36.2%) who were classified as low risk by the simplified PESI had a 30-day mortality of 1.1% (95% CI 0.7%–1.5%) compared with 8.9% (95% CI 8.1%–9.8%) in the high-risk group.
| Table 3. Original Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) and Simplified PESI Scores. |
We also produced prognostic scores to identify outpatients with DVT at low risk for complications,29 cancer patients at increased risk of dying,30 predictors for fatal PE,31 or to identify cancer patients with PE at low risk for complications.32
Limitations and Strengths
The RIETE Registry has several limitations. First, patients are not treated with a standardized anticoagulant regimen; treatment varies with local practice and is likely to be influenced by a physician’s assessment of a patient’s risk of bleeding. Second, to fulfil the definition of fatal PE in RIETE, patients must first experience an objectively confirmed PE event, followed by death within 10 days. Thus, all sudden unexplained deaths which are usually considered as “likely” fatal recurrent PE are not considered, and the rate of fatal PE may have been underestimated, especially after hospital discharge. Third, RIETE is an ongoing observational registry (and not a randomized controlled trial), and the data are hypothesis-generating. Thus, we should be extremely cautious before suggesting changes in treatment strategies based on uncontrolled registry data. Finally, there is no monitoring and no external control of the data entered in RIETE, and there is also no external adjudication of the events, which are merely reported by the authors. Strengths of the Registry include that a large number of consecutive unselected patients are enrolled, and a large number of variables are considered.